It is clear that Walid Jumblatt is hedging his bets. He is increasingly friendly with Amal leader Nabih Berri. They talk often on the phone. U.S. military power is ebbing out of the region and won't be coming back anytime soon. Two years from now, or five years from now, or nine months from now, Iran will test a nuclear bomb, and then the new order will be revealed. No one wants to get caught on the wrong side.
The Year of the Elephant by David Samuels
Our cold war with Iran unfolds in Lebanon
http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=59fe8f65-fc23-40b0-b3d8-6b334b46aee2